UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
2 - 2
Fiorentina

Zeqiri (12'), McKenzie (85')
Munoz (29')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ranieri (7', 23')
Mandragora (33'), Biraghi (45+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Genk and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Union SG 0-2 Genk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-2 Atalanta
Sunday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina have been up and down in the early stages of the season, but a win over Atalanta at the weekend should bring great confidence to the side for their trip to Belgium. Genk have made a fine start themselves and should put up a good account of themselves, but they may come up just short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Fiorentina
39.87% ( -0.05)	23.98% ( 0.02)	36.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.45% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

-0.08)

40.84% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76% (

-0.08)

63.23% (

0.08)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.32% (

-0.06)

20.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.09)

53.27% (

0.09)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.47% (

-0.02)

22.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.9% (

-0.03)

56.1% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Genk 39.87%

Fiorentina 36.15%

Draw 23.97%

Genk	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.15%