Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale

Genoa
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Dragusin (44')
Vasquez (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (26'), Terracciano (60'), Faraoni (66'), Duda (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Genoa
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-3 Monza
Sunday, November 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Genoa 2-1 Hellas Verona

A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams who are both desperate to return to winning ways could be on the cards on Friday. Three of the last four meetings between these two clubs have ended as a draw, but we believe that Genoa will do just enough to claim maximum points against a defensively-vulnerable Verona outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Hellas Verona
56.44% ( 0.09)	25.36% ( -0.04)	18.21% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 42.28% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.2% (

0.06)

58.8% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.69% (

0.05)

79.31% (

-0.05)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.06)

20.89% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39% (

0.09)

53.61% (

-0.09)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.45% (

-0.02)

46.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.86% (

-0.02)

82.14% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Genoa 56.43%

Hellas Verona 18.21%

Draw 25.35%

Genoa	Draw	Hellas Verona
1-0 @ 15.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.43%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.21%