La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
We said: Getafe 1-0 Almeria
Getafe are not losing at the moment, but they are finding it difficult to win, and Almeria certainly have the quality to avoid defeat this weekend. We are expecting a very tight game in terms of the scoreline but believe that Getafe will be able to pick up all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5% . A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%) . The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result Getafe Draw Almeria 46.5% ( -0.1) 26.53% ( 0.07) 26.97% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.18)
44.72% ( -0.25) 55.28% ( 0.25)
23.5% ( -0.2) 76.5% ( 0.2)
76.25% ( -0.16) 23.75% ( 0.16)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.11% ( -0.23) 57.89% ( 0.22)
64.21% ( -0.11) 35.79% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.44% ( -0.11) 72.56% ( 0.11)
Getafe 46.49%
Almeria 26.98%
Draw 26.52%
Getafe Draw Almeria 1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.49% 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.52% 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 26.98%
How you voted: Getafe vs Almeria
26
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 04:10:29
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