FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 4
Sheff Utd

Coleman (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Osula (14', 39'), McAtee (83', 87')
Thomas (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Gillingham and Sheffield United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield United

All competitions

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Gillingham 0-1 Sheffield United

Rarely have Sheffield United entered a fixture this season as favourites, but Saturday's contest is one that they will not be considered as underdogs, although success against a resurgent Gillingham side is not a given. The Gills have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks under Clemence, but we believe that their Premier League counterparts will do just enough to claim a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Sheffield United
48.99% ( 0.06)	25.08% ( -0.02)	25.92% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.68% (

0.06)

50.32% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

0.05)

72.27% (

-0.05)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

0.05)

20.56% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.92% (

0.08)

53.08% (

-0.08)

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0)

33.99% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-0.01)

70.66% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 48.99%

Sheffield United 25.92%

Draw 25.08%

Gillingham	Draw	Sheffield United
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 48.99%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.92%