La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
1 - 1
Getafe

Villar (45+4')
Boye (39'), Neva (56'), Zaragoza (72'), Manafa (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mayoral (2')
Alena (41'), Rodriguez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Granada and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Granada
Sunday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Cadiz
Monday, November 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a really tough game to call, and it would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win here. We fancy the draw, though, as two of the last three meetings between these two teams have finished level, while Getafe have been the draw specialists in Spain's top flight this season alongside Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Getafe
47.34% ( 0.03)	26.91% ( 0.04)	25.75% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.57% (

-0.2)

57.43% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.76% (

-0.16)

78.24% (

0.16)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71% (

-0.08)

24.29% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34% (

-0.1)

58.66% (

0.1)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

-0.18)

38.01% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

-0.17)

74.78% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Granada 47.34%

Getafe 25.75%

Draw 26.9%

Granada	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.34%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.75%