La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 28, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
3 - 0
Osasuna

Pellistri (29'), Uzuni (48'), Boye (90+4')
Boye (20'), Jozwiak (22'), Ruiz (32'), Rubio (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Granada and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Granada
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Granada have to avoid defeat here to take their fight to another match, and we are backing a goalless draw on Sunday. Osasuna have had another solid campaign, but they will be missing a number of important players this weekend, which has made it difficult to back an away success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Osasuna
39.24% ( -0.35)	27.85% ( -0.05)	32.92% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 47.92% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.05% (

0.25)

57.95% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35% (

0.2)

78.65% (

-0.19)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.08)

28.76% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.1)

64.6% (

0.1)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.26% (

0.41)

32.74% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.71% (

0.45)

69.3% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Granada 39.23%

Osasuna 32.91%

Draw 27.84%

Granada	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.84%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.91%