League Two

League Two | Gameweek 32

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 0
Colchester

Muldoon (90+2')
O'Connor (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Harbottle (28'), McGeehan (39'), Goodman (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Harrogate
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 3-3 Forest Green
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Colchester United
39.5% ( 0.11)	24.66% ( 0.01)	35.84% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.89% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.84% (

-0.07)

44.16% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.46% (

-0.07)

66.54% (

0.06)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

0.03)

22.3% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

0.04)

55.76% (

-0.04)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79% (

-0.1)

24.21% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.45% (

-0.14)

58.55% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 39.5%

Colchester United 35.84%

Draw 24.66%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.5%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 35.84%