Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 6

Sep 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Beste (59')
Pieringer (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leite (40'), Kral (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Heidenheim
Sunday, September 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heidenheim 1-3 Union Berlin

Although Heidenheim have began the campaign in slightly better fettle than expected, they have looked extremely open defensively at times, and we expect Union Berlin to punish them this weekend. Fischer's side are simply too good for their current poor run of form to continue much longer, and they will be targeting Saturday's fixture as an excellent opportunity to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heidenheim in this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
44.79% ( 0.02)	25.66% ( -0.01)	29.55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.04)

50.47% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

0.04)

72.4% (

-0.03)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

0.03)

22.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

0.04)

56.03% (

-0.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.73% (

0.01)

31.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.38% (

0.02)

67.62% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 44.79%

Union Berlin 29.55%

Draw 25.65%

Heidenheim	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 44.79%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.55%