Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Campo La Quinta

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
RB Leipzig

Kramaric (90')
Kabak (69')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sesko (38')
Simons (55'), Raum (86')
Simons (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 RB Leipzig

Friday's game has the potential to be high-scoring, with Hoffenheim failing to keep a clean sheet in 26 league matches and Leipzig conceding in 12 consecutive road games in the Bundesliga. Leipzig are backed to continue their fine form in a match they enter as favourites, having defeated Hoffenheim in five straight matches in all competitions, losing once in 13 previous games against Die Kraichgauer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	RB Leipzig
29.14% ( 0.57)	19.88% ( -0.31)	50.98% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 74.08% (

1.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.72% (

1.98)

23.27% (

-1.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.37% (

2.62)

42.63% (

-2.63)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.29% (

1.35)

17.71% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.63% (

2.28)

48.36% (

-2.28)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.03% (

0.61)

9.97% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.04% (

1.4)

32.95% (

-1.4)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 29.14%

RB Leipzig 50.98%

Draw 19.88%

Hoffenheim	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.61% Total : 29.14%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.88%	1-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.46) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 3.6% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.18) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 50.98%