Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 1
Napoli

Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')

Inter Milan's Francesco Acerbi denies racially abusing Napoli's Juan Jesus

Inter Milan defender Francesco Acerbi denies racially abusing Napoli's Juan Jesus during Sunday's Serie A clash at San Siro.

Mar 18, 17:52

Juan Jesus in action for Napoli in March 2024

Napoli's Juan Jesus accuses Francesco Acerbi of lying over racism allegations

Napoli's Juan Jesus refutes Francesco Acerbi's claims that the Inter Milan defender did not make a racist comment towards him in Sunday's Serie A clash.

Mar 18, 22:06

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Inter Milan (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Barcelona 3-1 Napoli
Tuesday, March 12 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 Napoli

Inter and Napoli are Serie A's top two for total shots, shots on target, touches in the opposition area and expected goals, so it could be an entertaining encounter at San Siro. Both took severe blows in midweek, but the hosts are best equipped to resume normal service and take one step closer to succeeding their visitors as Italian champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 20.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Napoli win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
57.34% ( -0.51)	22.39% ( 0.52)	20.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-1.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.25% (

-2.36)

44.75% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.89% (

-2.32)

67.11% (

2.31)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.64% (

-0.97)

15.36% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.86% (

-1.84)

44.13% (

1.83)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.93% (

-1.37)

36.06% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.15% (

-1.42)

72.84% (

1.42)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 57.33%

Napoli 20.27%

Draw 22.39%

Inter Milan	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.53% Total : 57.33%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.39%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.27%