Championship

Championship | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
2 - 1
Sunderland

Jackson (33'), Chaplin (75')
Clarke (24'), Taylor (52'), Edmundson (54'), Burns (60'), Sarmiento (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clarke (26')
Ba (55'), Hume (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 0-3 Newcastle
Saturday, January 6 at 12.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Sunderland

Sunderland showed against Newcastle that they are far from the finished article under Beale and this is a fixture that they could probably do without after such a humbling. Despite Ipswich's recent form, the home side could have enough about them to get over the line in this one, kick-starting their promotion bid. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Sunderland
43.17% ( -0.06)	23.69% ( -0.04)	33.14% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 61.74% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84% (

0.21)

40.16% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47% (

0.22)

62.52% (

-0.21)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.08% (

0.06)

18.92% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.58% (

0.1)

50.42% (

-0.1)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.14% (

0.16)

23.86% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.96% (

0.22)

58.04% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 43.17%

Sunderland 33.14%

Draw 23.68%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 43.17%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.14%