Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Sammy Ofer Stadium

Israel
1 - 1
Switzerland

Weissman (88')
Abu Fani (24'), Safouri (26'), Davidzada (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vargas (36')
Zakaria (45'), Zeqiri (80'), Akanji (90+2'), Steffen (90+3')
Fernandes (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Israel and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Israel
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	8	9	16
2	Switzerland	7	12	15
3	Israel	7	-1	11
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 3-3 Belarus
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	8	9	16
2	Switzerland	7	12	15
3	Israel	7	-1	11
4	Kosovo	8	1	10
5	Belarus	8	-7	6
6	Andorra	8	-14	2

We said: Israel 0-2 Switzerland

The nations met in 2006 and 2010 World Cup qualifying, drawing all four matches, but a 3-0 win in Geneva in March shows the quality Switzerland have over Israel, and given the issues surrounding the designated home team here, they will find it tough. Sunday's defeat will have dented confidence massively, and the task of having to play four crunch qualifiers in the space of 10 days may weigh heavily on the squad, making the Swiss big favourites here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Israel	Draw	Switzerland
47.15% ( -0.14)	24.44% ( -0)	28.4% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 56.52% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

0.1)

45.89% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

0.09)

68.2% (

-0.09)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.44% (

-0.02)

19.56% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.53% (

-0.03)

51.47% (

0.03)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

0.15)

29.74% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.19% (

0.18)

65.81% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Israel 47.15%

Switzerland 28.4%

Draw 24.44%

Israel	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.15%	1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.4%