Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

We said: Ivory Coast 2-1 Uruguay

Uruguay will head into this game without most of their big stars, reducing their chances of getting a win here. We think Ivory Coast will present a side with better quality for this affair and they have a coach with more to prove in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Uruguay
65.33% ( -0.27)	21.35% ( 0.15)	13.31% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 43% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.92% (

-0.32)

52.08% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.28)

73.8% (

0.27)

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

-0.2)

15.21% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13% (

-0.37)

43.86% (

0.36)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.72% (

-0)

49.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.84% (

-0)

84.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 65.33%

Uruguay 13.31%

Draw 21.35%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.35%	0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.31%