Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Stadium

Juventus
1 - 0
Roma

Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

The 1-0 win is written deep in Juve's DNA, and a tactical tussle between Allegri and Mourinho is not likely to develop into a goalfest. A single strike could decide the points' destiny, and the Bianconeri's ability to get the job done against other top-four rivals should prove enough to see off Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Roma
41.67% ( -0.45)	28.75% ( -0.22)	29.57% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 44.31% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.07% (

0.92)

61.92% (

-0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.31% (

0.67)

81.68% (

-0.67)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.2)

29.31% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.24)

65.28% (

-0.24)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.68% (

1.04)

37.32% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

1.01)

74.1% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Juventus 41.67%

Roma 29.57%

Draw 28.74%

Juventus	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.67%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.74%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 29.57%