Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 17

Jan 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Selke (29')
Chabot (12'), Hubers (41'), Pentke (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Beck (55')
Pieringer (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 FC Koln
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 3-2 Freiburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-1 Heidenheim

Based on recent form, there would only be one winner in this match, but that could go out of the window to some extent given the gap between fixtures. Koln are also a relatively unknown entity given their change of managers. We can envisage Schultz getting off to a decent start by avoiding defeat, but Heidenheim should have enough quality and confidence to return home with another point to add to their tally. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Heidenheim
55.75% ( -0.26)	21.74% ( 0.07)	22.51% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 59.69% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.07% (

-0.09)

38.93% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.75% (

-0.1)

61.25% (

0.1)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

-0.11)

13.9% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.67% (

-0.22)

41.33% (

0.22)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.33% (

0.12)

30.67% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.08% (

0.14)

66.92% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 55.75%

Heidenheim 22.51%

Draw 21.74%

FC Koln	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 55.75%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.51%