La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 27, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
0 - 2
Girona

Marmol (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lopez (26'), Dovbyk (57' pen.)
Dovbyk (37'), Herrera (39'), Couto (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 4-1 Cadiz
Saturday, April 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 1-2 Girona

Girona's poor run of away form will end at some stage, and we are backing that to be this weekend. Las Palmas have lost their way over the last few weeks, and we are expecting a fired-up Girona outfit to navigate their way to a hugely-important three points on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Girona
36.39% ( 0.02)	25.36% ( 0.01)	38.24% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

-0.02)

47.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

-0.02)

69.55% (

0.02)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.62% (

-0)

25.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83% (

-0)

60.17%

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.64% (

-0.02)

24.36% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

-0.03)

58.76% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 36.39%

Girona 38.24%

Draw 25.36%

Las Palmas	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.73% Total : 36.39%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.24%