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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Sansone (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), de Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan

Via del Mare is not a place to venture without caution, but Lecce are on a downward slope and Inter have been simply irresistible this year. Even accounting for some squad rotation, Inzaghi's boys can post another win and inch closer towards the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
19.1% (-0.507 -0.51) 23.51% (-0.255 -0.26) 57.39% (0.762 0.76)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.342 0.34)50.98% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.299 0.3)72.85% (-0.3 -0.3)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-0.366 -0.37)40.92% (0.367 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-0.329 -0.33)77.48% (0.33 0.33)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (0.40299999999999 0.4)17.54% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (0.695 0.7)48.07% (-0.694 -0.69)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 19.1%
    Inter Milan 57.39%
    Draw 23.51%
LecceDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.87% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 12.49%
0-2 @ 10.87% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.64% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.75% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.45% (0.07 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.96% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.39%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
10.3%
Draw
9.3%
Inter Milan
80.4%
97
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
2-0
Lecce
Aurel Bisseck (43'), Barella (78')
Inzaghi (16'), Calhanoglu (30')

Gonzalez (15'), Piccoli (64'), Pongracic (74')
Banda (83')
Mar 5, 2023 5pm
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 20
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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