Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Monza

Krstovic (90+2')
Oudin (25'), Krstovic (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pessina (90+6' pen.)
Colombo (15'), Izzo (70'), Gagliardini (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-3 Lecce
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Atalanta
Sunday, April 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce are reborn under Gatti, keeping clean sheets and winning football games again. Unbeaten in 11 of their 13 home matches across Serie A and Serie B, last losing to the Biancorossi in December 1998, the home side should avoid defeat on Saturday, with a goal settling it for the Wolves. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Monza
38.3% ( -0.61)	28.14% ( -0.05)	33.57% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 47.19% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09% (

0.27)

58.91% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

0.21)

79.4% (

-0.21)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22% (

-0.23)

29.78% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.27)

65.86% (

0.28)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

0.59)

32.8% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.64% (

0.66)

69.36% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Lecce 38.3%

Monza 33.57%

Draw 28.14%

Lecce	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57%