Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Sassuolo

Krstovic (48')
Rafia (44'), Krstovic (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berardi (22' pen.)
Boloca (1'), Holmgren Pedersen (43'), Marco Ferrari (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Napoli
Saturday, September 30 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-1 Monza
Monday, October 2 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo have never lost to Lecce in six previous meetings - winning on three occasions, including completing the double last season with two 1-0 wins. While it is never quite clear what Sassuolo will show up, Lecce may be reeling from two quick-fire defeats last week and could struggle to maintain their position near the top, making the visitors slight favourites to keep up their fine run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Sassuolo
43.4% ( -0.22)	24.68% ( 0.07)	31.91% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.71% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.77% (

-0.29)

45.22% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.43% (

-0.27)

67.57% (

0.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.09% (

-0.22)

20.91% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.36% (

-0.34)

53.63% (

0.34)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96% (

-0.05)

27.04% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6% (

-0.06)

62.4% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Lecce 43.4%

Sassuolo 31.91%

Draw 24.68%

Lecce	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.91%