Championship

Championship | Gameweek 38

Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Millwall
72.3% ( 0.25)	17.9% ( 0.17)	9.8% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 42.36% (

-2.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

-1.95)

46.55% (

1.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-1.86)

68.83% (

1.86)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.53% (

-0.47)

11.47% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.69% (

-1.03)

36.31% (

1.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.85% (

-2.1)

52.15% (

2.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.9% (

-1.41)

86.1% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 72.29%

Millwall 9.8%

Draw 17.9%

Leeds United	Draw	Millwall
2-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.81) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.21% Total : 72.29%	1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.51% Total : 17.9%	0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 9.8%