Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Plymouth

James (21'), Piroe (28')
Gruev (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Waine (84')
Randell (33'), Whittaker (61'), Edwards (66'), Gibson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

Although Plymouth have generally impressed on their return to the second tier, they are probably playing Leeds at the wrong time. We expect the home side to dominate this fixture and prevail with a win and clean sheet, keeping the pressure on Ipswich above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
63.36% ( -0.76)	19.45% ( 0.43)	17.18% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 58.59% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.86% (

-1.5)

36.14% (

1.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.75% (

-1.66)

58.25% (

1.66)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.13% (

-0.62)

10.87% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.01% (

-1.4)

34.99% (

1.4)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

-0.56)

34.27% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.03% (

-0.6)

70.97% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 63.36%

Plymouth Argyle 17.18%

Draw 19.45%

Leeds United	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.36%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.45%	1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.18%