Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
3 - 1
Norwich

Dewsbury-Hall (33'), Mavididi (61'), Vardy (90+3')
Vestergaard (65')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sara (20')
Duffy (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leicester City 2-2 Norwich City

Leicester were not without their chances in Friday's excruciating loss to Bristol City - Vardy had simply left his best shooting boots in the locker room - and the Foxes now come up against a Norwich side whose performance on the road has left a lot to be desired all season long. Wagner's men are in a good moment attacking wise, though, and the Canaries evidently have the resources to trouble the out-of-sorts hosts from dead ball situations, so we anticipate a share of the spoils in an entertaining draw between these two Premier League hopefuls. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 63.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
63.44% ( -0.53)	19.71% ( 0.06)	16.85% ( 0.47)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.01% (

0.63)

37.98% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.75% (

0.67)

60.25% (

-0.67)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

0.05)

11.39% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.86% (

0.1)

36.13% (

-0.1)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22% (

0.95)

35.78% (

-0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44% (

0.96)

72.55% (

-0.96)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 63.44%

Norwich City 16.85%

Draw 19.71%

Leicester City	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.29% Total : 63.44%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.71%	1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 16.85%