Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
1 - 0
Brest

Aguilar (32')
Khusanov (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Magnetti (69'), Satriano (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-3 Lens
Sunday, March 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Brest undoubtedly have better form coming into this match, Lens are no pushover and are well capable of giving any side a run for their money on their day. The Blood and Gold have not lost back-to-back home league games in over two years, and we feel that they will be able to secure a share of the spoils in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Brest
43.27% ( -0.03)	25.53% ( -0.01)	31.2% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.79% (

0.04)

49.21% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.73% (

0.03)

71.27% (

-0.03)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

-0)

22.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.7% (

56.3% (

-0)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.52% (

0.04)

29.47% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.52% (

0.05)

65.48% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lens 43.27%

Brest 31.2%

Draw 25.52%

Lens	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.27%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.2%