Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 12, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
2 - 1
Sevilla

Frankowski (63' pen.), Fulgini (90+6')
El Aynaoui (37'), Medina (75'), Fulgini (85'), Danso (90+9')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos (79' pen.)
Soumare (61'), Salas (65'), Ramos (80'), Mir (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lens and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Lens
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bereft of reinforcements in all areas of the field and struggling for inspiration domestically, Sevilla ought to travel to France in hope more than expectation, especially with Lens always a force to be reckoned with in front of their expectant crowd. Haise's men have not always dazzled and delighted on the attacking front in recent weeks, but they should find their way through a depleted Sevilla backline at least once to ensure Europa League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Lens	Draw	Sevilla
48.74% ( 0.01)	23.98% ( -0.01)	27.28% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.41% (

0.02)

44.59% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.04% (

0.02)

66.96% (

-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.59% (

0.01)

18.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.44% (

0.02)

49.55% (

-0.03)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.11% (

29.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.01% (

0.01)

65.99% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lens 48.74%

Sevilla 27.28%

Draw 23.97%

Lens	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.97%	1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 3.18% Total : 27.28%