EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
0 - 1
West Ham

O'Connor (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Soucek (70')
Soucek (64')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Lincoln City and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-4 West Ham United

With West Ham expected to make widespread changes, Lincoln will fancy their chances of upsetting the odds in this contest. Nevertheless, the Hammers have a deep squad with minimal injuries, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the Premier League side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for West Ham United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for West Ham United.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	West Ham United
32.67% ( -0.12)	24.99% ( 0.11)	42.35% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.67% (

-0.52)

46.33% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.39% (

-0.49)

68.62% (

0.49)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.9% (

-0.33)

27.1% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.52% (

-0.43)

62.48% (

0.43)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.14% (

-0.22)

21.87% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.89% (

-0.33)

55.11% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 32.67%

West Ham United 42.35%

Draw 24.98%

Lincoln City	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.35%