FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
0 - 0
Bolton

Clark (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Luton Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Saturday, December 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Burton Albion
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton will be eyeing a Premier League scalp on Sunday, and it would not be a huge shock if they were able to pick up the victory. Luton have caused a number of big teams problems at home this season, though, and we are expecting the Hatters to secure their spot in the fourth round courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
23.51% ( 0)	23.19% ( -0)	53.3% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.61% (

-0)

44.39% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

-0)

66.76% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

-0)

32.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

-0)

69.38%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0)

16.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

-0.01)

46.44% (

Score Analysis

Luton Town 23.51%

Bolton Wanderers 53.3%

Draw 23.18%

Luton Town	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.08% 2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.51%	1-1 @ 10.9% 0-0 @ 5.45% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.85% 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.19% Total : 53.3%