Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24

Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lyon
0 - 3
Lens

Maitland-Niles (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sotoca (43'), Wahi (53' pen.), Danso (87')
Gradit (29'), Danso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bumps and bruises from the Coupe de France will come into play for Lyon on Sunday, where leading marksman Lacazette is unlikely to be 100%, but in their current form, Les Gones are not to be counted out against any foe. A full week of recuperation was just what the doctor prescribed for a jaded Lens side, though, and with Haise's men stringing together an exceptional streak of defensive displays on the road, a low-scoring draw may be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Lens
36.02% ( -1.27)	25.87% ( 0.22)	38.11% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 54.64% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.36% (

-1)

49.64% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.34% (

-0.9)

71.66% (

0.9)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.33% (

-1.19)

26.67% (

1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-1.6)

61.91% (

1.6)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.51% (

0.12)

25.49% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.67% (

0.16)

60.33% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Lyon 36.02%

Lens 38.11%

Draw 25.87%

Lyon	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.02%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.11%