Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16

Dec 17, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
2 - 1
Clermont

Murillo (26'), Harit (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Allevinah (58')
Seidu (67'), Gastien (85'), Caufriez (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Clermont, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Marseille
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Clermont

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 0-0 Lille
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Marseille 2-0 Clermont

Even though they lost in midweek, we expect Marseille to maintain their solid domestic form against a side in Clermont who have been unable to do much besides stay back and try to frustrate the opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 65.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Clermont
65.58% ( 1.45)	20.19% ( -0.77)	14.23% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 48.88% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

1.91)

45.45% (

-1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

1.8)

67.78% (

-1.8)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.97% (

1.03)

13.03% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.41% (

2.06)

39.59% (

-2.06)

Clermont Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.21% (

0.21)

43.8% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.05% (

0.18)

79.95% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Marseille 65.58%

Clermont 14.23%

Draw 20.19%

Marseille	Draw	Clermont
2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.94% Total : 65.58%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.19%	0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.23%