Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz
3 - 1
Nantes

Van Den Kerkhof (3'), Elisor (28'), Asoro (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Simon (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-1 Reims
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both sets of players will be hoping for a positive result before the two-week international break and are likely to go all out for the victory in this one. With two of the worst defences in the league on display in this match, a fair bit of goalmouth action at both ends can be expected here, but we feel that these sides will cancel each other out by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.

Result
Metz	Draw	Nantes
44.96% ( -0.09)	27.03% ( 0.05)	28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.41% (

-0.16)

56.58% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.43% (

-0.13)

77.56% (

0.13)

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

-0.12)

25.07% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.25% (

-0.16)

59.75% (

0.16)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.34% (

-0.06)

35.66% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.57% (

-0.06)

72.43% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Metz 44.96%

Nantes 28%

Draw 27.03%

Metz	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.96%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 28%