Championship

Championship | Gameweek 31

Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Bristol City (5-3 pen.)
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Bristol City
44.17% ( -0.53)	26.56% ( -0.15)	29.28% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.79% (

0.88)

54.21% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.38% (

0.73)

75.62% (

-0.73)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.59% (

0.13)

24.41% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.17% (

0.18)

58.83% (

-0.17)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

0.99)

33.41% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

1.06)

70.04% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 44.17%

Bristol City 29.28%

Draw 26.55%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.55%	0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.28%