Championship

Championship | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham

Tanganga (90')
Leonard (64'), Bryan (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

With both sides painfully aware of how big Saturday's match could be in the fight for survival, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Millwall and Birmingham. The Lions are enjoying a brilliant run of form under their new management, but we reckon that Blues can earn a point from their trip to the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
43.96% ( -0.02)	26.64% ( -0)	29.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.14% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5% (

0.02)

54.49% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14% (

0.01)

75.85% (

-0.02)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

-0)

24.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

-0)

59.14%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.52% (

0.02)

33.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.89% (

0.02)

70.1% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Millwall 43.96%

Birmingham City 29.39%

Draw 26.64%

Millwall	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.39%