Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31

Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
1 - 1
Nantes

Adams (2')
Savanier (24'), Tchato (45')
Mincarelli (90+1'), Nordin (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Abline (7')
Sissoko (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Reims 1-2 Montpellier
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 0-3 Rennes
Saturday, April 20 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Nantes

Nantes' abysmal streak of home results and impressive endeavours on the road are most peculiar, and Les Canaris have also had the better of their hosts in recent times, but they now face a Montpellier side riding the crest of a wave. Ruing the absence of a key attacking cog in Simon, Nantes' purple patch away from home should count for little against the in-form Paillade, who have their own difference-maker in Teji Savanier capable of causing chaos against any opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nantes
43.97% ( 0.33)	24.66% ( 0.05)	31.37% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 57.51% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.63% (

-0.38)

45.36% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

-0.36)

67.7% (

0.37)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.01)

20.71% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

-0.02)

53.33% (

0.02)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

-0.43)

27.45% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05% (

-0.56)

62.94% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 43.97%

Nantes 31.37%

Draw 24.66%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Nantes
2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.97%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.37%