Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
0 - 1
Lens

Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (48')
Danso (82'), Aguilar (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 0-0 Nantes
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-2 Lens
Sunday, January 28 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

While history suggests Nantes have the upper hand in this contest, we believe the overall form of Lens and their balance across the board will enable them to end a lengthy winless drought versus La Maison Jaune at Stade de la Beaujoire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lens
31.55% ( 1.57)	26.92% ( -0.13)	41.53% ( -1.43)

Both teams to score 50.28% (

1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.23% (

1.05)

54.77% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.92% (

0.86)

76.08% (

-0.86)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

1.68)

32.05% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

1.86)

68.52% (

-1.86)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74% (

-0.27)

26% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.97% (

-0.37)

61.02% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Nantes 31.55%

Lens 41.52%

Draw 26.92%

Nantes	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.55%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.17) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.52%