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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
25.94% ( 0.04) | 23.83% ( 0.02) | 50.22% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.03% ( -0.04) | 44.96% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.68% ( -0.04) | 67.32% ( 0.04) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.88% ( 0.02) | 31.11% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.56% ( 0.02) | 67.44% ( -0.02) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% ( -0.04) | 17.97% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.19% ( -0.07) | 48.81% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |