Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
We said: Nice 1-0 Monaco
Losing to a third-tier side at the Coupe de France cannot be good for the confidence of the Principality club, who are in a slump domestically and, outside of Ben Yedder, are struggling to score consistently.
Nice are an intimidating defensive force to deal with at home, with a keeper who may have a psychological edge on the Monegasque attackers given what transpired the last time these teams met when he saved two penalties.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 45.49% . A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.71%) . The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%) . The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood .
Result Nice Draw Monaco 45.49% ( -0.26) 25.12% ( -0.12) 29.39% ( 0.37)
Both teams to score 54.92% ( 0.6)
51.71% ( 0.68) 48.28% ( -0.69)
29.56% ( 0.62) 70.43% ( -0.63)
78.75% ( 0.17) 21.25% ( -0.17)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.84% ( 0.26) 54.16% ( -0.26)
69.73% ( 0.62) 30.26% ( -0.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.56% ( 0.73) 66.43% ( -0.74)
Nice 45.49%
Monaco 29.39%
Draw 25.11%
Nice Draw Monaco 1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.49% 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.11% 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.39%
How you voted: Nice vs Monaco
82
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 23:01:50
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