Serie B | 2nd Leg

Jun 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
0 - 0
Cagliari

(Cagliari win 3-2 on aggregate)

Osorio (61'), Zanimacchia (64')

Dossena (41'), Radunovic (90'), Goldaniga (90+1'), Viola (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie B clash between Parma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Parma
Tuesday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cagliari

All competitions

Last Game: Cagliari 3-2 Parma
Tuesday, May 30 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Parma 2-1 Cagliari (Parma advance due to higher league position)

Parma have conceded in five of their last six home games, giving Cagliari a chance heading into Saturday's meeting. However, a win by a goal margin would suffice for Buffon and his teammates to advance to the decider against Bari or Sudtirol. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Cagliari
37.57% ( 0.76)	28.98% ( 0.23)	33.44% ( -0.99)

Both teams to score 44.78% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.12% (

-0.88)

61.88% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.36% (

-0.65)

81.65% (

0.65)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.29% (

0.03)

31.71% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.87% (

0.03)

68.13% (

-0.03)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

-1.14)

34.43% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

-1.23)

71.14% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Parma 37.57%

Cagliari 33.44%

Draw 28.98%

Parma	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.54% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.57%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.98%	0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 33.44%