Serie B | Gameweek 33

Apr 13, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 0
Spezia

Hernani (45+1'), Charpentier (87')
Bonny (43'), Circati (67'), Candelari (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Falcinelli (45+6'), Colak (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Spezia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Sudtirol 0-0 Parma
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Lecco
Saturday, April 6 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Spezia
51.11% ( -0.02)	25.09% ( 0.02)	23.79% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.91% (

-0.05)

52.08% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.19% (

-0.04)

73.81% (

0.04)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.62% (

-0.03)

20.38% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

-0.04)

52.79% (

0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.2% (

-0.02)

36.8% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.41% (

-0.02)

73.58% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Parma 51.11%

Spezia 23.79%

Draw 25.09%

Parma	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.11%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.79%