Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Do Dragao

Porto
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-1)

Torres (45+1')
Cancelo (13'), Araujo (28'), Xavi (30'), Gavi (36'), Kounde (47'), Felix (50'), Roberto (86')
Gavi (90+3')

Robert Lewandowski substituted with ankle injury in Barcelona's clash with Porto

Robert Lewandowski is replaced in the first half of Barcelona's Champions League clash with Porto after picking up an ankle problem.

Oct 4, 21:09

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Porto
Friday, September 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Sevilla
Friday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Barcelona
39.31% ( -0.08)	24.17% ( 0)	36.52% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 60.78% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.26% (

-0.01)

41.74% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.86% (

-0.01)

64.14% (

0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.04)

21.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-0.06)

54.29% (

0.06)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.04)

22.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

0.05)

56.42% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Porto 39.31%

Barcelona 36.52%

Draw 24.17%

Porto	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.31%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.52%