League One

League One | Gameweek 36

Mar 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Lang (2'), Saydee (67')
Lang (28'), Ogilvie (65'), Kamara (81'), Bishop (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brannagan (6' pen.)
Harris (30'), Rodrigues (42'), Henry (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 2-2 Oxford United

Although Oxford have struggled for wins in recent times, they have seen five of their last seven matches finish all square, and with their previous three meetings with Portsmouth all ending in draws, we think the U's may do enough to take a point off the league leaders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 55.41%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
55.41% ( 0.01)	22.2% ( -0)	22.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.91% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

-0)

41.21% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

-0)

63.6% (

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.22% (

14.78% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

43.03% (

-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.01)

32.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.01)

68.52% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 55.41%

Oxford United 22.38%

Draw 22.2%

Portsmouth	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.15% 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 55.41%	1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 22.38%