Portugal will be looking to cause one of the biggest shocks in Women's World Cup history, but we think that their hopes of reaching the last 16 will be quashed by the record winners, who should have enough quality to claim all three points with minimum fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Women win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for USA Women had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest USA Women win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Women	Draw	USA Women
50.43% ( -1.68)	24.26% ( 0.72)	25.32% ( 0.97)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.64% (

-2.23)

47.36% (

2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.42% (

-2.1)

69.58% (

2.11)

Portugal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.19% (

-1.48)

18.81% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.77% (

-2.54)

50.23% (

2.55)

USA Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.1% (

-0.39)

32.9% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.53% (

-0.44)

69.47% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Portugal Women 50.42%

USA Women 25.32%

Draw 24.26%

Portugal Women	Draw	USA Women
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.26%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.32%