Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
0 - 3
Leicester

Browne (46'), Hughes (54'), Brady (62'), Holmes (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Vardy (36', 52'), McAteer (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 2-2 Leicester City

Given that Leicester were in celebratory on Friday night, it remains unclear how they will rock up for this contest. Although they will be eager to win the title, we do not expect them to perform to their absolute best, leading us to predict a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Leicester City
29.22% ( -2.88)	23.67% ( 0.75)	47.1% ( 2.12)

Both teams to score 59.73% (

-4.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.08% (

-5.13)

41.91% (

5.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.68% (

-5.36)

64.32% (

5.36)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.85% (

-4.31)

27.15% (

4.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-5.98)

62.54% (

5.97)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

-1.18)

18.01% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11% (

-2.05)

48.88% (

2.05)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 29.22%

Leicester City 47.1%

Draw 23.67%

Preston North End	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.62) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.35) Other @ 3% Total : 29.22%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.81) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.55) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 1.04) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.43) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1.53) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 1.08) 1-3 @ 5.35% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.46) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.27) Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.1%