FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium

QPR
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Armstrong (40'), Dykes (42')
Armstrong (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tavernier (48'), Moore (58'), Kluivert (69')
Billing (17'), Aarons (59'), Cook (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Queens Park Rangers and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Cardiff
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bournemouth

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 31 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Queens Park Rangers 0-2 Bournemouth

Only one goal has separated these two sides in the previous three meetings, and another tight affair could be on the cards, especially if Iraola decides to rotate his Bournemouth side. The Cherries will be wary of the threat that QPR could pose having lost to lower-league sides in their last two FA Cup ties, but they will still be regarded as the favourites on Saturday and should have few problems securing the victory that they require to advance to the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Bournemouth
40.56% ( 0.29)	23.81% ( -0.04)	35.63% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 61.99% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

0.14)

40.1% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.53% (

0.14)

62.47% (

-0.15)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

0.19)

20.04% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74% (

0.31)

52.26% (

-0.31)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.07)

22.46% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.99% (

-0.1)

56% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Queens Park Rangers 40.56%

Bournemouth 35.63%

Draw 23.8%

Queens Park Rangers	Draw	Bournemouth
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.63%