La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 20, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 2
Las Palmas

Balliu (17'), Isi (69'), Garcia (76')
Garcia (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Moleiro (35'), Munoz (83')
Valles (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 3-0 Villarreal
Saturday, January 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Las Palmas

This is a really tough match to call, and there is not an awful lot between the sides when it comes to quality. Both managers would likely view a point as a positive result, and we are struggling to back either with any real conference, therefore settling on a low-scoring draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Las Palmas
39.34% ( -0.03)	27.09% ( 0.02)	33.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.01% (

-0.06)

54.98% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.74% (

-0.05)

76.26% (

0.05)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

-0.05)

27.29% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.06)

62.73% (

0.06)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

-0.02)

30.79% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

-0.03)

67.06% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 39.33%

Las Palmas 33.57%

Draw 27.09%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.33%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.09%	0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.57%