Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Augsburg

Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg

While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
67.12% ( 0.99)	17.74% ( -0.29)	15.13% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 60.22% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.13% (

-0.08)

31.87% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.59% (

-0.09)

53.41% (

0.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.21% (

0.2)

8.78% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.85% (

0.48)

30.15% (

-0.49)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

-0.89)

33.97% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

-0.97)

70.65% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 67.12%

Augsburg 15.13%

Draw 17.74%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 67.12%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.74%	1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.13%