La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Getafe

Joselu (47'), Bellingham (90+5')
Rudiger (45+3'), Kroos (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mayoral (11')
Latasa (7'), Soria (68'), Iglesias (81'), Alvarez (83'), Mayoral (87'), Angel Carmona (90+4')

Jude Bellingham equals Cristiano Ronaldo feat in last-gasp Real Madrid win

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham equals a La Liga goalscoring record set by Cristiano Ronaldo with his injury-time winner in Los Blancos' 2-1 triumph against Getafe.

Sep 3, 09:18

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Madrid
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Alaves
Monday, August 28 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Getafe

Real Madrid are the huge favourites to triumph here, and we are expecting them to claim all three points. Getafe are capable of making this a tricky match, and Barcelona struggled against them on the opening weekend of the new season, but Ancelotti's side should have enough quality to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 11.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
69.59% ( 0.13)	18.65% ( -0.08)	11.76% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 46.75% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.53% (

0.26)

44.47% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.16% (

0.25)

66.84% (

-0.25)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.38% (

0.11)

11.62% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.37% (

0.23)

36.63% (

-0.23)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.89% (

0.09)

47.11% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.43% (

0.07)

82.56% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 69.58%

Getafe 11.76%

Draw 18.65%

Real Madrid	Draw	Getafe
2-0 @ 12.67% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 69.58%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.72% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 11.76%