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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Aug 27, 2023 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Salt Lake
0 - 3
Houston


Chang (50'), Julio (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Baird (9'), Steres (29'), Carrasquilla (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 3-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, August 24 at 2.30am in US Open Cup

We said: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Houston Dynamo

Given their victory in this fixture just three days before Sunday's affair, Houston Dynamo have a bit of an edge here but Real Salt Lake will look to make home advantage count. We are backing the sides to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 21.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
55.76% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.2% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 21.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.69% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)47.23% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)69.46% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)16.77% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)46.72% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.3% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)36.7% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.51% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07)73.49% (0.076000000000008 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 55.76%
    Houston Dynamo 21.05%
    Draw 23.19%
Real Salt LakeDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 55.76%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.19%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 21.05%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Houston

Real Salt Lake
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
Houston Dynamo
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 2.30am
Semi-Finals
Houston
3-1
Salt Lake
Herrera (45+5'), Carrasquilla (105'), Caicedo (120+5')
Dorsey (22'), Herrera (38'), Carrasquilla (93'), Artur (118')
Julio (64')
Vera (38'), Arango (59'), Eneli (67'), Gomez (72'), Glad (106'), Palacio (114')
Vera (119')
May 7, 2023 1.30am
May 29, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
3-0
Houston
Wood (29'), Cordova (57'), Glad (90+2')
MacMath (79')
Feb 28, 2022 12am
Aug 19, 2021 3am
Gameweek 27
Salt Lake
2-1
Houston
Meram (6'), Julio (88')
Picault (51')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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