Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 4.05pm UK

Stade de la Route de Lorient

Rennes
0 - 1
Lyon

Salah (45'), Matic (75'), Theate (75')
Doue (5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

O'Brien (67')
Grosso (6'), Tagliafico (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 3-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Metz
Sunday, November 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes have a good recent record against Lyon here, winning their last two, scoring seven goals in the process, and given Lyon's troubles, they should make that three in a row. Grosso and his squad have a monumental task on their hands already given the deficit they need to make up, but this will be a challenging encounter, and they are set to go into the international break a long way adrift of safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Lyon
51.59% ( 0.18)	24.41% ( -0.08)	23.99% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 52.61% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83% (

0.21)

49.16% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77% (

0.19)

71.23% (

-0.19)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

0.15)

19.04% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37% (

0.26)

50.62% (

-0.26)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.99% (

0.02)

35.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.24% (

0.02)

71.75% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Rennes 51.59%

Lyon 23.99%

Draw 24.41%

Rennes	Draw	Lyon
1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.41%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.99%