Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 4
Inter Milan

Mancini (28'), El Shaarawy (44')
Mancini (47'), Huijsen (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Acerbi (17'), Thuram (49'), Angelino (56' og.), Bastoni (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 4-0 Cagliari
Monday, February 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Two teams in fine form meet on Saturday evening, when the hosts' new-found confidence will be truly put to the test. Roma (15) and Inter (14) have scored more goals than any other sides in the final 15 minutes of Serie A matches this season, so it could make for an eventful climax. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
33.8% ( 0.09)	27.26% ( 0.06)	38.94% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.39% (

-0.2)

55.61% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.23% (

-0.17)

76.77% (

0.17)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.05)

30.95% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.05)

67.25% (

0.05)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-0.18)

27.81% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-0.23)

63.4% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Roma 33.79%

Inter Milan 38.94%

Draw 27.25%

Roma	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.79%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25%	0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.94%