Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 0
Sheriff Tiraspol

Lukaku (11'), Belotti (32'), Pisilli (90+3')
Bove (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Talal (24'), Ricardinho (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Sheriff Tiraspol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheriff Tiraspol

All competitions

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 2-3 Slavia Prague
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Roma 2-1 Sheriff Tiraspol

Roma have recently been dominant on home soil, winning five games on the spin as hosts before drawing with Fiorentina last time out. With some high-calibre options among his fringe players, Jose Mourinho can still send out a side that sees off Sheriff - but a win for Group G leaders Slavia Prague may still consign them to the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
53.86% ( -0.01)	23.11%	23.03% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.44% (

44.55% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

0.01)

66.92% (

-0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

-0)

16.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.8% (

-0)

46.19% (

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67% (

0.01)

33.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05% (

0.01)

69.95% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Roma 53.86%

Sheriff Tiraspol 23.03%

Draw 23.11%

Roma	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.66% 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.46% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.11%	0-1 @ 6.04% 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.32% Total : 23.03%