Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham
1 - 2
Swansea

Nombe (64')
Ayala (12'), Rathbone (79'), Hall (86')
Ayala (17')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Patino (45'), Yates (73')
Darling (18'), Lowe (39'), Humphreys (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Rotherham United 1-1 Swansea City

With their position in the fight for survival quickly worsening, Rotherham will be desperate to return to winning ways on home turf on Saturday, but Swansea City boast more quality than their hosts, and both ticking over under temporary stewardship, we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome at the New York Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Rotherham United	Draw	Swansea City
29.09% ( 0.26)	24.33% ( 0.09)	46.58% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.26)

44.98% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.25)

67.33% (

0.25)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

0.05)

28.79% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

0.06)

64.64% (

-0.06)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.57% (

-0.25)

19.43% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.73% (

-0.41)

51.27% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Rotherham United 29.09%

Swansea City 46.58%

Draw 24.33%

Rotherham United	Draw	Swansea City
2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.09%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.33%	1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.58%